RSS Five Thirty Eight (Politics)

  • Why The Progressive Left Fits So Uncomfortably Within The Democratic Party April 2, 2020
    Graphics by Ryan Best With dozens of candidates trading endless jabs over policies like Medicare for All and systems like capitalism and socialism, this primary season has highlighted a growing divide within the Democratic Party about where it’s headed, both in this election and future ones. But now that former Vice President Joe Biden seemingly […]
  • The U.S. Has Held Elections During Times Of Crisis Before. Here’s What Happened. April 1, 2020
    Galen Druke speaks to elections analyst, Geoffrey Skelley, about how the United States has handled elections in times of crisis in the past, from wars to weather disasters.
  • So … About That Supposed Lack Of Enthusiasm For Biden? April 1, 2020
    Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Over the weekend, an ABC/Washington Post poll found that most Democrats now back former Vice President Joe Biden, but enthusiasm for his candidacy was, on the other hand, pretty lackluster. Just 24 percent of his supporters said […]
  • How Is Joe Biden Remaking The 2016 Primary Map? April 1, 2020
    Graphics by Yutong Yuan The 2020 Democratic primary is on the backburner. Many states have postponed their primaries because of the spread of the coronavirus, but there isn’t much question as to who will win the nomination. For all intents and purposes, former Vice President Joe Biden is now the presumptive nominee. He has amassed […]
  • What Explains The Bump In Trump’s Approval Ratings? April 1, 2020
    On Friday, President Trump’s approval rating hit 45.8 percent — the highest since January 25, 2017, according to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker. The timing suggests that the increase in his popularity is related to his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, which most Americans think he is managing well. Trump may be experiencing what political scientists […]
  • How Will Biden Choose His Running Mate? March 31, 2020
    There will likely be months of debate over who presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden should pick as his running mate — and what criteria he should use in making that decision. We already know one such criterion: Biden has pledged to choose a woman. But what else is he looking for in a vice presidential […]
  • Politics Podcast: Why Trump’s Approval Rating Has Increased March 30, 2020
    In recent days, President Trump’s approval rating has hit its highest point since the early days of his presidency. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team discusses why and suggests it may not be a good long-term indicator for the president. They also discuss where exactly we are in the arc of the COVID-19 crisis and explain […]
  • New Polls And New Candidates Are Giving Democrats Some Hope Of Flipping The Senate March 30, 2020
    The topsy-turvy Democratic primary for president dominated political news for the first two-and-a-half months of 2020 — and rightfully so, it was bonkers — but now that it’s settled down, it’s time for us to check in once again on the other major political battle of 2020: the fight for the U.S. Senate. Republicans started […]
  • The Coronavirus Isn’t Just A Blue State Problem March 27, 2020
    Washington state was the initial epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak in the United States. And New York is now the hardest-hit part of the country so far, with hospitalizations increasing at rapid rates — more than 37,000 people had been diagnosed with the coronavirus in New York as of late Thursday afternoon. Because COVID-19 hit […]
  • Trump Fully Invoking The Defense Production Act Would Help, But It Won’t Fix Everything March 27, 2020
    The U.S. doesn’t have what it needs to fight the novel coronavirus. N95 respirator masks are emergency room workers’ ideal line of defense against the small particles of spittle that can transmit COVID-19. It’s a banal-looking medical product — like a baseball straining under a small tarp of synthetic cloth — but its mundanity doesn’t […]

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